Probability and Statistical Inference

Synopsis: An activity illustrating probability from a random sample.  Students break up into groups of 4 to 5 students and determine the validity of the claim that 60% of the mints in the bag are green given that each bag contains two kinds of mint candy.

Type of activity: In-class, small-group

Statistical topics: probability and statistical inference

Time needed: 15 minutes

Materials needed:

Procedure:
  1. Ask students to break up into groups of size 4 or 5.
  2. Give one activity form and brown lunch bag to each student.
  3. Tell the students NOT to look in the bag throughout the activity.
  4. Inform the students that you claim 60% of the mints in the bag are green and that their goal is to determine whether this claim is valid.
  5. In order to test this claim, the students will take a random sample of 30 mints from the bag.
  6. To take the sample, have the students pick one mint from the bag (without looking in the bag), record its color on the activity form, place the mint back in the bag, and then shake the bag before the next mint is drawn.
  7. Ask the students to repeat this step until the group has drawn and recorded 30 mints in total.
  8. When they are finished with picking the random sample, have each group tally their results.
  9. Ask the students to answer the questions on the activity form.
Comments from others who have tried activity:  None.

Supplementary materials:  Activity Form: HTML Version
 

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This activity was submitted by Laura J. Simon: lsimon@stat.psu.edu