conference
Conference
Social Science and Statistics
In Honor of the Late Clifford C. Clogg.
26-28 September 1996
Penn State Scanticon
Conference Center Hotel
State College, Pennsylvania, U.S.A.
An interdisciplinary conference on social science and statistics will be
held 26-28 September 1996 at The Pennsylvania State
University to honor the late Clifford Collier Clogg, Distinguished
Professor of Sociology and Professor of Statistics, The Pennsylvania State
University. Professor Clogg's long time mentor, colleague, and friend, Leo
A. Goodman, the Class of 1938 Professor of Statistics and Sociology,
University of California - Berkeley, will deliver the keynote address.
A series of invited papers sessions organized around themes symbolizing the
distinguished career of the late Professor Clogg are planned. The sessions
will be based on lectures by leading
statisticians, demographers, and sociologists,. Each session will
include time for commentary, and discussion from the general audience.
Contributed paper sessions and poster sessions are also planned. Persons
interested in presenting a contributed paper or a poster should send an
abstract to the abstracts secretary.
Abstracts may be submitted electronically in ascii or LaTeX format. The
deadline for submitting abstracts for contributed papers and posters is 1
August 1996.
Penn State and the National Science Foundation have granted financial support for the conference.
The Government Statistics and Social Statistics Section of
the American Statistical Association, and the Methodology Section of
the American Sociological Association are co-sponsoring the
conference.
Conference Schedule
Each session will feature presentations from at least two speakers, followed
by commentary
by a discussant and questions and reactions from the audience. Papers will be drafted and sent to
discussants prior to the conference.
Thursday, 26 September 1996
Registration Area Open
- 9:00 a.m. - 10:00 a.m. Final Registration, Conference Desk
- 10:00 a.m. - 10:30a.m. Welcoming Remarks by Gregory L. Geoffroy, Dean of Eberly
College of Science, and Susan Welch, Dean of Liberal Arts
- 10:30 a.m. - 12:15p.m. Session A - Room Q
Methodological Issues in Labor Force Demography
Speakers:
- Mark Hayward and Dan Lichter (Penn State)
"Educational Inequality in Labor Force Activity: Conceptions
of Inequality Arising from Lifecycle and Population Structure
Perspectives"
- Herbert Smith (Pennsylvania)
"Occupational Mismatch: A Twenty Year Retrospective"
- Christopher Winship (Harvard) and Sanders Korenman (Baruch College and NBER)
"The Contribution of Additional Years of Formal Schooling to Measured IQ"
- 12:30 p.m. - 1:30 p.m. Lunch Break - Gardens Restaurant
- 1:30 p.m. - 3:15 p.m. Session B - 1 (concurrent) - Room Q
Analysis of Missing Data
Speakers:
- Roderick Little (Michigan) and Linda Yau (Michigan)
"Statistical Techniques for Analyzing Data From Prevention
Trials: Treatment of No-Shows Using Rubin's Causal Model"
- Donald Rubin (Harvard)
"Bayesian Inference for Causal Effects When Faced With
Non-Compliance in Randomized Trials"
- Joseph Schafer (Penn State), Rose Brunner (Penn State), and Linda Collins (Penn State)
"Statistical Inference for Latent Transition Models"
- Session B - 2 (concurrent) - Room N
Labor and Organizations: Methods and Applications
Speakers:
- Ayala Cohen and Galit Arad (Technion)
"Analysis and Display of Promotion Data"
- Anna B. Madamba (North Carolina)
"Minority Group Differences in Underemployment"
- Marc Scott (NYU)
"An Empirical Analysis of Work and Opportunity in a
Restructured Labor Market"
- Robert Smith (Social Structural Research) and Greta Ljung (IIPLR & MIT)
"Precertification and Onsite Review of Medical Care:
A Meta-Analysis of Effects"
- 3:15 p.m. - 3:30 p.m. Break
- 3:30 p.m. - 5:15 p.m. Session C-1 (concurrent) - Room Q
The Legacy Lives On: Clifford C. Clogg's Students
Speakers:
- John Grego (South Carolina)
"Probability Plots for Mean Effects in the Presence of
Variance Effects"
- Eva Petkova (Columbia)
"Longitudinal Analysis of Binary Data with Informative
Dropout"
- Joseph B. Lang and Scott Eliason (Iowa)
"The Application of Association-Marginal Models to the Study
of Social Mobility"
- Jon Lemke (Iowa)
"Generalized Iterative Incremental Algorithm: Simultaneous
Estimation of Order Restricted Multivariate Categorical Responses"
- Session C-2 (concurrent) - Room N
Methods and Substance in Educational Attainment and School Effects
Speakers:
- Ron Burt (Chicago)
"The Contingent Value of Social Capital"
- George Farkas (Texas)
"The Sorry State of Statistical Practice and Its Policy
Effectiveness in Our Nation's School Districts"
- Bengt Muthen (UCLA)
"General Latent Variable Analysis with Categorical and Continuous
Factors: Applications to Mixture Modeling of Growth Curves"
- Ross Stolzenberg (Chicago)
"What School Does in the Long Run: Evidence and Methods For Studying
Long Term Consequences of Educational Attainment"
- 5:30 p.m. Reception (Cosponsored by American Sociological Association Methodology
Section) - Terrace West (or Senate 2 & 3 in inclement weather)
Friday, 27 September 1996
- 8:00 a.m. - 9:45 a.m. Session D - 1 (concurrent) - Room Q
Official Statistics: The 2000 Census
Speakers:
- Louisa F. Miller (U.S. Bureau of the Census)
"The Road to Census Content: Where We Are and Where We Are Going"
- Mary H. Mulry (U.S. Bureau of the Census)
"Plans for Integrating Coverage Measurement In the 2000 Census"
- Gregory Robinson (U.S. Bureau of the Census)
"The Role of Demographic Analysis in the 2000 Census"
- Session D - 2 (concurrent)
Statistical Methodology
I
Speakers:
- Richard B. Davies and Robert Crouchley (Lancaster)
"The Limitations of Population Average Methods for the Analyses
of Longitudinal Data"
- Mark S. Handcock (Penn State), Martina Morris (Penn State), and Annette D. Bernhardt (Columbia)
"Measuring the Relative Shape of Distributions"
- Steven Kou (Michigan) and Z. Ying (Rutgers)
"2 x 2 Tables: Theory and Computation"
- 9:45 a.m. - 10:00 a.m. Break
- 10:00 a.m. - 11:45a.m. Session E - 1 (concurrent) - Room Q
Mixture Models
Speakers:
- Dankmar Boehning (Berlin)
"Recent Developments in C.A. MAN"
- Bruce Lindsay (Penn State)
"Recent Developments in Mixture Testing Problems"
- Kevin Lynch (Carnegie-Mellon), Daniel S. Nagin (Heinz), and Kathryn Roeder (Carnegie Mellon)
"Conditional Analysis of Latent Class Models for Criminal Careers"
- Session E - 2 (concurrent) - Room N
Methods and Applications In Demography
Speakers:
- Philip Chu (UC-Berkeley)
"Testing the Application of Heckman's Two Stage Estimation
Technique for Predicting Age at First Marriage: A Microsimulation
Approach"
- Lei Li (Hawaii)
"Mixture Models for Duration Data: Analysis of Second Births
in China"
- Tim Futing Liao (Illinois)
"Log-Rate Logit Models for Estimating Rate Differences"
- Timothy Siu-Man Ng (United Nations)
"A New Approach to Calculate the Period Parity Progression
Ratios: Applications and Sensitivity Analysis, Kenya, and
Columbia"
- 12:00 p.m. - 1:00 p.m. Lunch Break - Gardens Restaurant
- 1:00 p.m. - 2:45 p.m. Session F - Room Q
Latent Structure Models and Their Applications
Speakers:
- Gerhard Arminger (Wuppertal)
"Regression Analysis of Multivariate Binary Response Variables
Using Rasch-Type Models and Finite-Mixture Methods"
- Anton Formann (Vienna)
"Structural Latent Class Models"
- Jacques Hagenaars (Tilburg)
"Categorical Causal Modeling: Directed Loglinear Models with
Latent Variables"
- Erling Andersen (Copenhagen)
"Similarities and Dissimilarities Between the Latent Class
Model and the Generalized Rasch Model"
- 2:45 p.m. - 3:00 p.m. Break
- 3:00 p.m. - 4:45 p.m. Session G - Room Q
Demographic Methodology
Speakers:
- Sam Preston (Pennsylvania), Irma Elo (Pennsylvania), Andrew Foster (Pennsylvania),
and Haishan Fu (Pennsylvania)
"Estimating Census Completeness for African Americans"
- Kenneth Land (Duke), Daniel Nagin (Carnegie-Mellon), and Patricia McCall (North Carolina State)
"Discrete-Time Hazard Regression Models with Hidden
Heterogeneity: The Semiparametric Mixed Poisson Regression
Approach"
- Kazuo Yamaguchi (Chicago) and Denise Kandel (Columbia)
"Parametric Event Sequence Analysis: An Application to an
Analysis of Gender and Racial/Ethnic Differences in Patterns
of Drug-Use Progression"
- 4:45 p.m. - 5:00 p.m. Transportation to 101 Thomas Building
(meet bus at Scanticon entrance)
- 5:15 p.m. - 6:30 p.m. Keynote Speaker: Leo A. Goodman
- Clifford C. Clogg Memorial Lecturer, and Class of 1938 Professor of Statistics and
Sociology, University of California-Berkeley
"The Empirical Study of Latent Types, Latent Variables, and Latent Structures: An Introduction
for the Untutored and Some Surprising New Results for the Enlightened"
Room 101 Thomas Building
- 6:30 p.m. Bus departs Thomas Building for Sociology Department tour, Oswald Tower
- 6:30 p.m. - 7:00 p.m. Open House: Department of Statistics, Department of Sociology
and Population Research Institute (tours available)
- 7:00 p.m. Buses depart Thomas Building and Oswald Tower for University House
- 7:00 p.m. Reception hosted by Gregory L. Geoffroy, dean, Eberly College of Science,
University House
- 7:45 p.m. First bus departs University House for Conference Center, Nittany Lion Inn,
and Days Inn
- 8:30 p.m. Second bus departs University House for Conference Center, Nittany Lion Inn,
and Days Inn
Saturday, 28 September 1996
- 8:00 a.m. - 9:45 a.m. Session H - 1 (concurrent) - Room Q
ICPSR Special Session on Regression Diagnostics and Graphics
Speakers:
- Kenneth Bollen (North Carolina) and Pamela Paxton (North Carolina)
"Latent Variable Models with Interactive Terms: Illustrations of a Two Stage Least
Squares Estimator"
- John Fox (McMaster)
"Statistics and Social Science: The Role of Staistical Data Analysis in Social Research"
- Session H - 2 (concurrent) - Room N
The Legacy Lives On: Clifford C. Clogg's Students
Speakers:
- Lynne M. Casper (U.S. Bureau of the Census) and Martin O'Connell (U.S. Bureau of the Census)
"Couple Characteristics and Fathers as Child Care Providers"
- Miles D. Harer (U.S. Department of Justice)
"The Survival Analysis of Prison Life"
- Jim Shockey (Arizona)
"The Determinants of Child Well-Being: A Reconsideration of
Family Structure and Parental Behavior"
- Hee-Choon Shin (National Opinion Research Center)
"Latent Classes on Multidimensional Space"
- 9:45 a.m. - 10:00 a.m. Break
- 10:00 a.m. - 11:45a.m. Session I - 1 (concurrent) - Room Q
Categorical Data Analysis
Speakers:
- Alan Agresti (Florida)
"Logit Models and Related Loglinear Models for Repeated
Categorical Responses"
- Mark Becker (Michigan)
"Latent Class Marginal Models for Cross-Classifications of
Counts"
- Michael Sobel (Arizona)
"Some Log-Linear and Log-Nonlinear Models for Ordinal Scales
with Midpoints, With an Application to Public Opinion Data"
- Session I - 2 (concurrent) - Room N
Attitudes: Theory and Applications
Speakers:
- Gordon Bechtel (Florida)
"German Life Quality After the Wall: An Application of Categorical
Data Analysis"
- Randall MacIntosh (Athens State)
"Global Attitude Measurement: An Assessment of the World Values
Survey Postmaterialism Scale"
- Michael W. Gillespie (Alberta)
"Unrotated Versus Rotated Factor Analyses of Measures of Emotional
Experience: Simple Structure is not Always so Simple"
- 12:00 p.m. - 1:00 p.m. Lunch Break
- 1:00 p.m. - 2:45 p.m. Session J - 1 (concurrent) - Room Q
Labor Force Mobility and Stratification
Speakers:
- David Grusky (Stanford)
"Is There a Worldwide Sex Segregation Regime?"
- Robert Hauser (Wisconsin), John Warren (Wisconsin), Min-Hsing Huang(Wisconsin), and
Wendy Carter (Wisconsin)
"Occupational Status, Education, and Social Mobility"
- Michael Hout (California)
"Speed Bumps on the Road to Meritocracy: Occupational Mobility
of Women and Men in the United States, 1972-1994"
- Yu Xie (Michigan) and Kimberlee Akin (Michigan)
"Sex Differences in Research Productivity: Solving the Puzzle"
- Session J - 2 (concurrent) - Room N
Statistical Methodology II
Speakers:
- David Firth (Nuffield)
"Shrinkage Adjustments in Logit Models"
- Md. Ariful Haque (Dhaka)
"Diagnostics for Assessing Dependencies in Logistic Regression Model"
- Thomas R. TenHave, Erik Pulkstenis, Allen Kunselman, J. Richard Landis (Penn State)
"Accomodating Informative Dropout with Mixed Effects Logistic Regression Models"
- 2:45 p.m. - 3:00 p.m. Break
- 3:00 p.m. - 4:45 p.m. Session K - 1 (concurrent) - Room Q
Model Selection Indices and Strategies
Speakers:
- Adrian Raftery (Washington)
"Beyond BIC: Families of Proper Reference Priors for Bayesian
Model Selection and Model Averaging in Generalized Linear Models"
- Tamas Rudas (Budapest)
"The Mixture Index of Fit"
- J. K. Lindsey (Diepenbeek and Liege)
"Model Selection and Likelihood Regions"
- Session K - 2 (concurrent) - Room N
Crime and Domestic Violence
Speakers:
- Charles Cappell (Northern Illinois)
"Latent Structure Models of Family Violence"
- Robert A. Johnson, John Hoffmann, Susan Su, and Dean R. Gerstein (National Opinion Research Center)
"Growth Curves of Deviant Behavior in Early Adolescence:
A Multilevel Analysis"
- Ana L. Rodriguez-Gusta (Notre Dame)
"Transitions in Domestic Violence: Some Insights From Spousal
Abuse in American Families"
- 4:45 p.m. - 5:00 p.m. Closing Remarks - Room Q
Scientific Organizing Committee
Chairmen
- Mark Becker
- University of Michigan
Department of Biostatistics
Ann Arbor, MI 48109-2029
USA
E-mail: mbecker@sph.umich.edu
- Michael Sobel
- University of Arizona
Department of Sociology
Social Sciences Bldg., Room 400
Tucson, AZ 85721
USA
Tel. #: 313-936-9846
E-mail: sobel@ccit.arizona.edu
Program Committee
- Gerhard Arminger (Wuppertal)
- David Grusky (Stanford)
- Mark Hayward (Penn State)
- Hank Heitowit (Inter-University Consortium for Political and Social Research)
- Jon H. Lemke (Iowa)
- Dan Lichter (Penn State)
- Bruce Lindsay (Penn State)
- Roderick Little (Michigan)
- James Rosenberger (Penn State)
- Ross Stolzenberg (Chicago)
- John Thompson (U.S. Bureau of the Census)
- Yu Xie (Michigan)
For more information about scientific program content, contact:
Program Chairmen
- Mark Becker
University of Michigan
Department of Biostatistics
Ann Arbor, MI 48109-2029
USA
E-mail: mbecker@sph.umich.edu
- Michael Sobel
University of Arizona
Department of Sociology
Social Sciences Bldg., Room 400
Tucson, AZ 85721
USA
Phone: 602-621-7084
Fax : 602-621-9875
E-mail: sobel@ccit.arizona.edu
For submitting an abstract for a contributed paper or poster, send to:
- Laurie Roan, Abstracts Secretary
-
Social Science and Statistics Conference
Department of Statistics
Penn State University
University Park, PA 16802-2111
E-mail: laurie@stat.psu.edu
For more information about registration or accommodations, contact:
- Chriss Schultz, Conference Planner
-
Penn State Conferences and Institutes
225 Penn State Scanticon
University Park, PA 16802
Phone: 814-863-5132
Fax: 814-863-5190
E-mail:cys2@cde.psu.edu
Last Updated 23 September 1996
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