Department of Statistics Penn State University Eberly College of Science Department of Statistics
Duncan K. H. Fong


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  • Professor of Marketing and Statistics
  • Department of Marketing
  • Ph.D., Purdue University, 1987

Summary of research interests

Dr. Fong's research interests include Bayesian statistics, marketing research, forecasting and supply chain management. He is currently working on several projects, which include the development of new methodologies to perform conjoint analysis, the investigation of dynamic evolution of consumer preferences, the study of regime changes with an application to multiple regression analysis, among others.

Representative publications

Dr. Fong's research has been published in various journals, including the Journal of the American Statistical Association, Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, Journal of Econometrics, Marketing Science, Technometrics, Psychometrika, Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference, Naval Research Logistics, the European Journal of Operational Research, Communications in Statistics, Journal of Statistical Computation and Simulation, The American Statistician, Journal of the Operational Research Society, The Canadian Journal of Statistics, Statistics and Decisions, Experimental Economics, Computers and Operations Research, Quality Management Journal and International Journal of Production Economics.

Some selected publications are:

D. K. H. Fong, S. E. Pammer, S. F. Arnold and G. E. Bolton. 2002. Re-analyzing ultimatum bargaining: comparing non-decreasing curves without shape constraints. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics 20: 423-430.

S. D. Beattie, D. K. H. Fong, and D. K.J. Lin. 2002. A two-stage bayesian model selection strategy for supersaturated designs. Technometrics 44: 55-63.

S. E. Pammer, D. K. H. Fong, and S. F. Arnold. 2000. Forecasting the penetration of a new product -- a Bayesian approach. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics 18: 428-435.

D. K. H. Fong and G. E. Bolton. 1997. Analyzing ultimatum bargaining: a Bayesian approach to the comparison of two potency curves under shape constraints. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics 15: 335-344.

D. K. H. Fong and J. O. Berger. 1993. Ranking, estimation and hypothesis testing in unbalanced two-way additive models - a Bayesian approach. Statistics and Decisions 11:1-24.

D. K. H. Fong 1992. Ranking and estimation of related means in the presence of a covariate - A Bayesian approach. JASA 87: 1128-1136.

Student supervision

Ph.D. theses

Paul Mosquin (Ph.D. in Statistics, 2001), "The Analysis of Bayesian Finite Mixture Models and Discrete Choice Models" (co-advised with Dr. S. F. Arnold; Dr. Mosquin's first job: research statistician at the Research Triangle Institute)

Scott Beattie (Ph.D. in Statistics, 1999), "Contributions to the Design and Analysis of Experiments: Computer Experiments and Supersaturated Designs" (co-advised with Dr. D. K. J. Lin; Dr. Beattie's first job: senior statistician at Eli Lilly)

Haizhen Fu (Ph.D. in Management Science, 1998), "Exploring Component Commonality Issues in a Supply Chain" (Dr. Fu's first job: application engineer at i2 Technologies)

Scott Pammer (Ph.D. in Statistics, 1995), "Nonparametric Bayesian Estimation and Comparison of Response Curves" (co-advised with Dr. S. F. Arnold; Dr. Pammer's first job: senior statistician at Minitab)

MS thesis

Ian M. Cohen (MS in Industrial Engineering, 1999), "Optimal Process Control of Turning Applications: A Bayesian Approach" (co-advised with Dr. M. Jeya Chandra)

Last updated: 28 April 2005

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